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In today’s Power Rankings, I began to scratch the surface as far as tiebreakers are concerned. I then reached out to the OVC, as they usually put together a list this time of year. They had done so, and were kind enough to forward it to me.

It’s 3 pages long.

Two of the seeds are even locked at this point. But the other 6 are crammed so closely together, there are 28 possible ties that could occur at the end of this week.

For your…convenience, the entire list is posted at the bottom. But instead of going though each one line-by-line, I figured I’d try to simplify things as much as possible, and discuss the ones I feel are most likely, and therefore the most important, come Saturday night.

Tennessee Tech and the 4-seed: I was wondering how unbalanced schedules would affect tiebreakers, and the OVC came through with an answer. In short: 0-1 is not the same for tiebreaker purposes as 0-2.

Tennessee Tech would win every tie breaking scenario (including some that could boost TTU to the 3-seed) except one: If they lose to the Racers, and finish in a tie with Morehead State. They split the season series, and it would fall to the best record against the top seed: Murray. Morehead only lost to the Racers once. Again assuming a TTU loss to the Racers, the Golden Eagles would have lost to the Racers twice. As I learned, 0-1 is not the same as 0-2.

So, Tennessee Tech locks a top-4 seed with a win over the Racers. A loss, and Tech needs Morehead State to lose both games at home against Eastern Illinois and SIU Edwardsville, which is unlikely. Alternatively,  they need SEMO lose out, and Morehead to split their games.

Short version, the Golden Eagles badly need to beat the Racers to end the season. They have a week to think about it. They had a week last time as well.

EIU getting into the tournament: This is surprisingly not that messy. If there is a tiebreaker, just assume Eastern Illinois loses it, because they do.

EIU cannot get in at 6-10. They must win out. At 7-9, they lose every one-on-one tiebreaker, including EKU, due to the same 0-1 vs 0-2 argument against Murray State. EIU also loses a 4-way tie at 7-9. They lose every 3-way tie at 7-9.

So their only path into the OVC tournament requires them winning out, and either Austin Peay, Eastern Kentucky, or Jacksonville State losing out. It’s just that simple. And if that happens, they will be the 8 seed. No other options.

Does Morehead earn a bye at 8-8:  Yes, unless Jacksonville State is the only team that makes it to 8-8. Then they would fall to the 5-seed. They win every other 8-8 tiebreaker.

 

The Full List (Courtesy the OVC)

If Southeast Missouri and Tennessee Tech are tied at 10-6 …
TTU won the season series 1-0 and would be the No. 3 seed

If Southeast Missouri, Tennessee Tech and Morehead State are tied at 10-6 (or 9-7) …
TTU would be 2-1 in composite tiebreaker and be the No. 3 seed
SEMO would be 1-1 in composite tiebreaker and be the No. 4 seed
MOR would be 1-2 in the composite tiebreaker and be the No. 5 seed

If Morehead State and Tennessee Tech are tied at 10-6 …
(Note: This assume SEMO finishes 11-5)
The teams split the season series 1-1
TTU would be 1-1 against the No. 1 seed (Murray State) and be the No. 4 seed
MOR (0-1 against Murray State) would be the No. 5 seed

If Morehead State and Southeast Missouri are tied at 10-6 …
(Note: This assumes TTU finishes 9-6 and is the No. 5 seed)
xSEMO won the season series 1-0 and would be the No. 3 seed; MOR would be No. 4

If Morehead State and Tennessee Tech are tied at 9-7 …
The teams split the season series 1-1
MOR would be 0-1 against the No. 1 seed (Murray State) and be the No. 4 seed
TTU would be 0-2 against the No. 1 seed (Murray State) and be the No. 5 seed

If Morehead State and Southeast Missouri are tied at 9-7 …
(Note: This assumes TTU finishes 10-6 and is the No. 3 seed)
SEMO won the season series 1-0 and would be the No. 4 seed; MOR would be No. 5

If Southeast Missouri and Tennessee Tech are tied at 9-7 …
(Note: This assumes MOR finishes 10-6 and is the No. 3 seed)
TTU won the season series 1-0 and would be the No. 4 seed; SEMO would be No. 5

If Austin Peay, Eastern Kentucky, Jacksonville State & Morehead State are tied at 8-8 …
MOR would be 5-1 in composite tiebreaker and be the No. 5 seed
JSU would be 1-3 in composite tiebreaker and be the No. 8 seed
APSU/EKU would be tied with same 2-3 composite tiebreaker record
EKU would be 0-1 against No. 1 seed (Murray State) and be No. 6 seed
APSU would be 0-2 against No. 1 seed (Murray State) and be No. 7 seed

If Morehead State and Austin Peay are tied at 8-8 …
MOR won the season series 2-0 and would be the higher seed.

If Morehead State and Eastern Kentucky are tied at 8-8 …
MOR won the season series 2-0 and would be the higher seed.

If Morehead State and Jacksonville State are tied at 8-8 …
Teams split the season series 1-1
Both teams were 0-1 against the No. 1 seed (Murray State)
JSU was 1-1 against No. 2 seed (TSU) and would be higher seed (MOR was 0-1 vs. TSU)

If Austin Peay and Eastern Kentucky are tied at 8-8 …
The teams split the season series 1-1
EKU would be 0-1 against the No. 1 seed (Murray State) and be the No. 6 seed
APSU would be 0-2 against the No. 1 seed (Murray State) and be the No. 7 seed

If Austin Peay and Jacksonville State are tied at 8-8 …
Austin Peay won the season series 1-0 and would be the higher seed.

If Eastern Kentucky and Jacksonville State are tied at 8-8 …
EKU won the season series 1-0 and would be the higher seed.

If Austin Peay, Eastern Kentucky and Jacksonville State are tied at 8-8 …
APSU/EKU would have a composite record of 2-1 each other tied teams and pull out of 3-way tie
EKU would be 0-1 against No. 1 seed (Murray State) and be the No. 6 seed
APSU would be 0-2 against No. 1 seed and be the No. 7 seed
JSU would have 0-2 composite record against tied teams and be the No. 8 seed

If Austin Peay, Eastern Illinois, Eastern Kentucky and Jacksonville State are tied at 7-9 …
(Note: This assumes EIU wins at EKU on Saturday)
APSU would be 3-1 in composite tiebreaker and be No. 6 seed
EKU would be 3-2 in composite tiebreaker and be No. 7 seed
JSU would be 1-2 in composite tiebreaker and be No. 8 seed
EIU would be 1-3 in composite tiebreaker and be eliminated

If Austin Peay, Eastern Illinois and Eastern Kentucky are tied at 7-9 …
(Note: This assumes JSU finishes at 6-10 and EIU beats EKU on Saturday)
APSU would be 2-1 in composite tiebreaker and be No. 6 seed
EKU would be 2-2 in composite tiebreaker and be No. 7 seed
EIU would be 1-2 in composite tiebreaker and be No. 8 seed

If Austin Peay, Eastern Illinois and Eastern Kentucky are tied at 7-9 …
(Note: This assumes JSU finishes at 8-8 and EIU beats EKU on Saturday)
APSU would be 2-1 in composite tiebreaker and be No. 7 seed
EKU would be 2-2 in composite tiebreaker and be No. 8 seed
EIU would be 1-2 in composite tiebreaker and be eliminated

If Austin Peay and Eastern Kentucky are tied at 7-9 …
The teams split the season series 1-1
EKU would be 0-1 against the No. 1 seed (Murray State) and be the higher seed
APSU would be 0-2 against the No. 1 seed (Murray State) and be the lower seed

If Austin Peay and Jacksonville State are tied at 7-9 …
Austin Peay won the season series 1-0 and would be the higher seed.

If Eastern Kentucky and Jacksonville State are tied at 7-9 …
EKU won the season series 1-0 and would be the higher seed.

If Eastern Illinois and Jacksonville State are tied at 7-9 …
JSU won the season series 1-0 and would be the higher seed

If Eastern Illinois and Austin Peay and tied at 7-9 …
APSU won the season series and would be the higher seed

If Eastern Illinois and Eastern Kentucky are tied at 7-9 …
(Note: This assumes EIU beats EKU on Saturday)
The teams split the season series 1-1
EKU would be 0-1 against the No. 1 seed (Murray State) and be the higher seed
EIU would be 0-2 against the No. 1 seed (Murray State) and be the lower seed

If Austin Peay, Eastern Illinois and Jacksonville State are tied at 6-10 …
(Note: This assumes EKU wins at least one game making them at least 7-9 and the No. 6 seed)
APSU would be 2-0 in composite tiebreaker and be No. 7 seed
JSU would be 1-1 in composite tiebreaker and be No. 8 seed
EIU would be 0-2 in composite tiebreaker and be eliminated

If Eastern Illinois and Jacksonville State are tied at 6-10 …
JSU won the season series 1-0 and would be the No. 8 seed

If Eastern Illinois and Eastern Kentucky are tied at 6-10 …
(Note: This assumes EIU beats EKU on Saturday)
The teams split the season series 1-1
EKU would be 0-1 against the No. 1 seed (Murray State) and be the No. 8 seed
EIU would be 0-2 against the No. 1 seed (Murray State) and be eliminated

If Eastern Illinois and Austin Peay are tied at 6-10 …
APSU won the season series 1-0 and would be the No. 8 seed

Tiebreaker Rules

TWO-WAY TIES
1.     Records in head-to-head competition are compared, with the higher seed going to the team that has won the most games against the other.
2.     In the event step 1 does not resolve the tie (i.e. if the two teams split their games during the season), then the records of the tying teams against the No. 1 seed shall be compared.  The team with the better record against the No. 1 seed shall gain the higher seed.
3.     If the potential No. 1 seed is among tied teams, the process in step 2 will begin at the highest point in the standings which does not involve a tied team.
4.     The process continues, through the No. 11 team in the standings, if necessary.
5.     In the event the tie cannot be broken, seeds will be determined by a coin flip.

MULTIPLE TIES
1.     Composite records between the tying teams will be evaluated to determine whether one team has won more games against the other tying institutions (in which case that team would receive the higher seed) and/or one team has won the least number of games among the tied teams (in which case the team will receive the lowest seed), and/or two teams have the same composite record (in which case the two-team tiebreaker scenario shall be utilized).
2.     In the event step 1 does not solve the multiple ties, or reduce the multiple ties to one tie, then a comparison of records of the tying institutions against the No. 1 seed will occur.  The team among the tying institutions with the better record against the No. 1 seed will receive the higher seed.
3.     If the potential No. 1 seed is among tied teams, the process in step 2 will begin at the highest point in the standings which does not involve a tied team.
4.     The process continues, through the No. 11 team in the standings, if necessary.
5.     In the event this process does not resolve the ties, seeding will be determined by a coin flip.

Note: If a multiple tie is reduced to a tie between two teams, the two-team tiebreaker formula will then be utilized. Ties involving teams higher in the standings are always broken before ties involving teams lower in the standings.

Higher winning percentages shall prevail in tiebreaker situations, even if the number of games played against a team or group if unequal (i.e. 2-0 is better than 3-1). In the case of tied percentages, 2-0 is better than 1-0 and 0-1 is better than 0-2.


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OVC Ball
Compiling all OVC non-conference games

2016 Football Standings

OVC Overall
Jacksonville State 7-0 10-2
UT Martin 6-2 7-5
Tennessee Tech 5-3 5-6
Tennessee State 4-3 7-4
Eastern Illinois 4-4 6-5
Murray State 4-4 4-7
SEMO 3-5 3-8
Eastern Kentucky 2-6 3-8
Austin Peay 0-8 0-11


2016-17 Basketball Standings

OVC Overall

EAST

Belmont 15-1 23-7
Morehead State 10-6 14-16
Jacksonville State 9-7 20-15
Tennessee State 8-8 17-13
Tennessee Tech 8-8 12-20
Eastern Kentucky 5-11 12-19

WEST

UT Martin 10-6 22-13
SEMO 9-7 15-18
Murray State 8-8 16-17
Austin Peay 7-9 11-19
Eastern Illinois 6-10 14-15
SIUE 1-15 6-24


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