Since the adoption of a 64-team tournament, seven 15-seeds have beaten two seeds in the first round. Three of those seven are within the last three tournaments. (Florida Gulf Coast, Lehigh, Norfolk State) There have been 17 three-seeds to beat 14-seeds since 1986, but interestingly only one in the last three years. (Harvard)
Honestly, it’s much more about the matchups than the actual seeds. Here’s who ESPN has as the two and three seeds as of this morning
- Two seeds
- Three seeds
Yeah, give me a three-seed any day over any of the two’s.
While this is pure speculation on my part, it sure feels like Belmont put out this press release today with the sole intent of trying to convince the NIT committee to give the Bruins a top-4 seed in the upcoming NIT, and with that a home game in the first round.
In the latest official RPI released by the NCAA, the Bruins are ranked 56th, which will almost surely be in the top-16 of teams that don’t make the field of 68. (It might be in the top eight) The biggest question: how much will the committee count playing in the Ohio Valley Conference, which undoubtedly had a down season, against them?
With three top-100 RPI wins, (at North Carolina, at Middle Tennessee, and against Indiana State) and just one sub-200 loss (at Tennessee Tech) I’d can’t imagine the Bruins not getting at least one home game.
Is it greedy to ask for two?
Murray State’s postseason fate is sealed, with the Racers accepting a bit to the CollegeInsider.com Tournament (CIT) and heading on the road to play Missouri State in the first round. It’s somewhat surprising that these two schools, which do play in football quite often, hardly ever meet on the hardwood. Their last game was in the 2011 NIT, a game won by Missouri State.
The Bears resume is more solid than Murray’s. Missouri State, ranked 88th in the RPI, got three chances at Wichita State in the MVC, losing by just three in Springfield. They finished with 20 wins, going 2-6 against the RPI top-100, and 9-11 against the RPI top-200.
That might not sound great, but for reference Murray is ranked 142nd, and went 0-4 against the RPI top-100, and 3-9 against the RPI top-200. The Racers also have one more sub-200 loss than the Bears.
As for like opponents, both played and beat MVC member Evansville, and the Bears split against Southern Illinois, who the Racers beat early in the year in Murray.