So, way back in October of last year, I decided that it would be fun to make a few predictions about the upcoming OVC basketball season. So, now that the season is over, how did I do?
Well, it started off well enough…
- Belmont will be better on defense this year
- …which is why they’ll win the top overall seed in the OVC Tournament
- Evan Brads will be named the OVC player of the year.
Okay, three-for-three. I’m feeling good here.
- Murray State won’t have a dominant leader, but that’s okay.
Can I get half credit?
- Either Austin Peay or UT Martin won’t make the OVC Tournament
Sweet. Back on track.
- The Skyhawks will fall. It won’t be Anthony Stewart’s fault
Okay, in my defense, if the West Division wasn’t, well, the West Division, this one probably would have come true. But without any real contenders, the Skyhawks won the division for the second straight year.
- Southeast Missouri will jump the Skyhawks to make the OVC Tournament
It nearly happened. It was right there in front of them!.
- Jacksonville State won’t finish last in the East
- …in fact, they’ll finish ahead of two teams: Eastern Kentucky and Tennessee Tech
Nearly dead on! Jacksonville State not only jumped those two teams, but finished ahead of Tennessee State also.
- SIUE won’t be as bad as you think
They were worse. Much, much worse…which is quite a challenge in and of themselves. Maybe getting rid of a coach the same season he got the team to the OVC Tournament wasn’t the best decision…
- Eastern Illinois and Austin Peay will both finish 7-9 in conference.
One-for-two, and the Panthers were just one win off. Not too shabby.
- Morehead State will (finally!) learn to defend without fouling.
They did. After four years of finishing in the bottom 10 of KenPom rankings in their inability to keep teams off the free-throw line, the mid-season coaching change also changed the Eagles fouling ways, at least somewhat. They still finished 310th out of 351 teams, but…PROGRESS!
- Tennessee State will win a lot of games, but never threaten to win the East in Dana Ford’s final year in Nashville.
Well, it wasn’t completely wrong. TSU won a lot of games in non-conference play at least, but they sure didn’t threaten in the East, where they struggled just to qualift for the OVC Tournament. Ford is still at Tennessee State, but don’t be surprised to see a similar prediction this fall.
- The top two seeds will make the OVC Tournament Final in Nashville
Nope. Belmont is allergic to the tourney finals.
- Belmont will edge the Racers for the crown
Not even close.
- 2 to 2.5 predictions will actually be right.
- I…I actually did a lot better than I expected, but I still had a few misses. Murray State’s historically bad season, Eastern Illinois fall despite an competitive West, and UT Martin going back-to-back were my biggest misses.